Russia and its citizens are now experiencing a different and unexpected kind of war. Ukraine is systematically wearing down Russia's industrial and civic infrastructure while inflicting a massive loss of manpower that could create a serious skills gap and greater long‑term risk for Russia's future. As the war grinds into the minds of ordinary Russians and some of their leaders, the question arises: within the next year to year and a half, does the probability increase that regions of the Russ...