BlackRock Adopts Cautious Stance on European Markets
BlackRock has expressed increased caution regarding European markets, citing the ongoing energy shock as a factor dulling the region's investment appeal.
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BlackRock has expressed increased caution regarding European markets, citing the ongoing energy shock as a factor dulling the region's investment appeal.

The Athens Stock Exchange closed with a modest gain of 0.22% in today's trading session, experiencing limited fluctuations and continuous shifts in sentiment. Major European markets also saw mild fluctuations.

The Athens Stock Exchange recorded a strong gain of 2.64% with high turnover in its first session after the Easter holidays, mirroring upward trends in European markets and Wall Street, which are also benefiting from falling oil prices.

The aftermath of the conflict in Iran and the Strait of Hormuz is putting the Ibex stock index on alert, with Bank of America indicating that Spanish corporate profits could suffer significantly from high energy costs and increased debt.

The Athens Stock Exchange recorded mild upward trends at the start of its trading session following a two-day Catholic Easter holiday, amidst cautious investor sentiment across European markets.

Coffee Berry is celebrating its 10th anniversary by implementing an expanded strategic development plan, which includes its entry into three new European markets: France, Belgium, and Luxembourg.
Tesla reported a significant surge in March car registrations, tripling in France and doubling in Denmark, indicating strong sales performance in these European markets.

Over the past decade, Europe has lost nearly nine trillion Danish kroner in value as its technology companies have either been acquired or listed on stock exchanges outside the continent.

European stock markets saw a rebound at the start of trading, while the Athens stock exchange experienced downward trends. Investors are reacting to conflicting messages from the Middle East conflict and elevated oil prices, which are contributing to an energy shock.

Hyundai Motor announced plans to launch 46 new vehicles in China and India over the next five years, aiming to expand its global presence and reduce reliance on the US and European markets.

Gold and silver prices experienced a sharp decline, with gold sinking for a seventh session and silver slumping over 10%, as the escalating Middle East conflict drove oil prices higher and reduced prospects for a US interest-rate cut.
European markets are showing mixed performance as persistent tensions in the Middle East continue to influence investor sentiment.
Lydia Wanja, a former teacher, has transitioned to exporting medicinal herbs grown using greenhouse technology and solar power from Isiolo, Kenya, to European markets.

The Greek stock market opened with mild downward trends, mirroring a slight decline in European markets, as concerns intensify over the recent rise in oil prices.

Stock prices on the Athens Stock Exchange are recording mild downward trends at the opening of today's session, amidst a negative climate in European markets, following a new strong rise in oil prices.

G7 leaders have announced the record release of 400 million barrels of oil in response to the war in the Middle East. This represents about twenty days worth of usual oil traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, currently through dangerous to go through due to the threat of Iranian strikes. This initiative aims 'to calm markets down', as FRANCE 24's Philip Turle explains.

The Athens Stock Exchange indices are now moving in positive territory, seemingly unaffected by the prevailing negative sentiment in European markets. This recovery follows an initial downward trend observed at the market's opening.

During an ECOFIN meeting overshadowed by escalating tensions in the Middle East, Greek Minister of National Economy and Finance Kyriakos Pierrakakis emphasized the enormous cost of delays in integrating European markets.

The Euronext Group, which includes the Athens Stock Exchange, reiterates its long-standing position in favor of further improvements for the unified operation of European markets.

European stocks are expected to open in mixed territory again on Thursday as markets following unsettling geopolitical developments in the Middle East.

The Greek stock market experienced a strong rebound, closing with a 4.16% increase after a two-day sell-off, mirroring an upward trend in broader European markets.
European markets restore calm after Asian sell-off The Times
European markets have reportedly restored calm and recovered after experiencing a sell-off in Asian markets.

The Athens Stock Exchange experienced a strong recovery with the General Index gaining 2.03% at the opening of today's session, following several days of sell-offs and amid a mild upward trend in European markets.

Pressure on stock prices is increasing, with the market recording large losses, over 4%, falling below the 2,100 point level.

A study by ING reveals that nearly one in three Dutch private investors are reducing their investments in the United States, opting instead for European markets due to geopolitical tensions between the US and Europe.

The Central Macedonia region recorded a significant 32% increase in air arrivals from 11 key European target markets in 2025. This substantial boost in tourist flow highlights the region's growing appeal to European visitors.
European markets experienced a rise, with the STOXX index reaching a record high, driven by easing concerns over trade.
Cryptocurrency funds have seen $288 million in outflows, attributed to a growing divide between the US and European markets.
European markets are showing mixed performance after the release of flash Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) readings.

Türkiye's steel industry is reorienting its export strategy towards nearby markets, particularly the European Union, the Balkans, and Eastern Europe.

Shares fall in Japan while most Asian markets are shut for the Lunar New Year holiday, with JGB yields slipping in thin trading. European markets are also set to open lower as investors focus on earnings.

Uber is intensifying its competition with rivals like DoorDash-owned Wolt by launching its food delivery service in seven additional European markets, including Norway and Finland. This strategic move aims to strengthen Uber's footprint in the continent's growing food delivery sector.
European markets experienced a 3.9% surge following news of a potential ceasefire, prompting questions about whether the move signifies a genuine recovery or a short-term market unwind.

European leaders are reportedly discussing alternative plans for defense and security, including a separate joint European army, in case the United States withdraws from NATO under a potential future Trump administration.

A new study covering the period up to 2025 reveals that London has lost its leading position in European markets following Brexit, a political decision that fundamentally altered the flow of money in Europe.

The critical point for the markets from now on is what happens in the Middle East The post Citi: Where the energy shock will hit despite the ceasefire, and which sectors benefit appeared first on…
European markets remained closed for the Easter holiday, while ongoing tensions involving Iran are casting a shadow over the economic outlook, contributing to uncertainty.

The US-Iran conflict continues to fuel a global energy shock, with oil prices surging and Asian stocks falling after Trump's vows. The UK is experiencing unprecedented fuel price rises, while Saudi Arabia explores its East-West pipeline as an alternative to the Strait of Hormuz chokehold, all contributing to a broader economic slowdown and inflation.

European and world stock markets, including Asian equities, are experiencing downward trends for the fifth consecutive week due to intensifying Middle East conflict, which has also caused oil prices to surge towards $117 per barrel and led to a rebound in soybean and corn prices, further fueled by fears of escalation in Iran.

The Pentagon has ordered a greater military presence in the Middle East, fueling fears of a risky ground attack on Iran. Meanwhile, Donald Trump continues to claim a deal to end the war is close, despite Iranian officials flatly denying any such agreement is possible and calling U.S. claims a self-negotiated defeat.

The electric Renault Twingo, already in production at Revoz, is now being launched in European markets, with an imminent arrival in local markets.
Indian pharmaceutical companies are pursuing an aggressive strategy to enter European markets with generic products, capitalizing on Europe's push for greater autonomy in drug supply, according to Aneta Grzegorzewska of Ged.

European stocks are expected to slump at the open on Thursday as the Iran war escalates following attacks on Iranian and Qatari energy infrastructure.

Nicolai Tangen, CEO of Norges Bank Investment Management, warned Europe is facing a crisis and that “it is time to act.”
China's e-commerce giant, JD.com, has launched its online shopping platform, Joybuy, in six European markets, including the UK and Germany.
A significant development in the cryptocurrency market sees the launch of regulated crypto futures across 26 European markets, indicating a major move towards broader adoption and regulation.

EV manufacturer Lucid has announced plans to develop robotaxis and aims to achieve positive free cash flow by the end of the decade through market expansion into midsize vehicles and new European markets, further outlining its future business strategy.

By Godwin Oritse Shipping companies, freight forwarders and other port users have raised concerns over the potential impact of the ongoing crisis in the Middle East on cargo throughput into Nigerian…

The European defense sector experienced a 2.8% decline, dragged down by a general fall in European markets as investors assess the economic impact of recent developments.

Renault plans to produce a Jimny-like vehicle, the Bridger Concept, for markets outside Europe, capitalizing on the original Jimny's ban in Europe due to electrification requirements.

The Athens Stock Exchange recorded upward trends in share prices, with the General Price Index rising by 0.65% to 2,174.89 units, moving against the negative sentiment in European markets.

Russian President Vladimir Putin hinted that Russia might halt natural gas supplies to European markets and redirect them to more promising markets, though he stated it is not a final decision.
European markets restore calm after Asian sell-off The Times
European markets have reportedly restored calm following a period of sell-off in Asian markets, indicating a stabilization in global financial sentiment.
European markets have shown signs of restoring calm following a sell-off in Asian markets.

European stocks are expected to open in mixed territory on Wednesday as markets continue to track developments in the Middle East.

Wiktor Stopa has been appointed to lead Revolut's growth department in Romania and across the Central and Eastern European markets.
Crude oil prices have risen sharply, while stocks are down, as investors weigh the fallout of the US-Israeli attacks on Iran.
European markets were broadly muted, with concerns over the technology sector weighing on overall performance.

Stock prices on the Greek Stock Exchange recorded upward trends at the opening of today's session, with the General Index rising by 0.72% to 2,275.39 units, amidst an upward movement in larger European markets.
TransMedics has outlined an ambitious target of 20-25% revenue growth by 2026, driven by advancements in its OCS programs and strategic expansion into European markets.

Albania's large agricultural sector faces significant challenges, including outdated methods, low productivity, banned pesticides, and corruption, hindering its efforts to expand into European markets despite aspirations for growth.

Investors are pouring record sums into European stocks, with inflows on track for an all-time high in February, as global fund managers look for alternatives to expensive US tech shares.

Bayer's stock dropped significantly following its proposal of a $7.25 billion settlement in the Roundup litigation.

Futures, Global Markets Rise With US Markets Closed For President's Day Stocks gained, bitcoin tumbled and bonds steadied after Friday's cool CPI data reinforced expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates on multiple occasions this year. With US markets closed for the Presidents’ Day holiday and mainland China’s markets closed for Lunar New Year holidays, trading was muted on Monday. As of 9:00am ET, futures on the S&P 500 added 0.4% and Europe’s Stoxx 600 index rose 0.4% as banking shares rebounded from a sharp decline last week. German bunds and Treasury futures were steady after US yields touched the lowest since December on Friday. The path of US interest rates remains in focus following Friday’s slower-than-expected US inflation print as traders fully price a Fed cut in July and the strong chance of a move in June. “The backdrop for equities is positive post CPI,” said Andrea Gabellone, head of global equities at KBC Securities. At the same time, there could be “more dispersion ahead as sentiment around key AI-exposed sectors is still very critical,” he added. That sentiment was echoed by other strategists seeking to distinguish between AI losers and winners. A JPMorgan Chase & Co. team led by Mislav Matejka urged caution on stocks at risk of AI-driven “cannibalization,” including software, business services and media companies. Meanwhile, banks are developing baskets to capitalize on the divergence: as we first reported last Thursday, Goldman launched a new basket of software stocks that goes long firms that will benefit from AI adoption, while shorting the companies whose workflows could be replaced. With AI disruption rippling through markets, a lot will come down to earnings resilience, in particular in the US. “When you look at the current earnings season, the companies are showing 13% of growth,” Nataliia Lipikhina, head of EMEA equity strategy at JPMorgan, told Bloomberg TV. “Overall, this is the reason why we continue to be positive on the S&P.” Later this week, traders will be watching for ADP private payrolls numbers on Tuesday and the minutes from the Fed’s January meeting on Wednesday for a fresh read on the economy. European stocks gained with bank shares rebounding, after posting their biggest weekly decline since April on worries about disruption from artificial intelligence. The basic resources sector lags, with Norsk Hydro among Europe’s worst performers as both Goldman Sachs and RBC downgrade the stock. Stoxx 600 rises 0.4% to 620.26 with 253 members down, 336 up, and 11 unchanged. Here are some of the biggest movers on Monday: NatWest shares rise as much as 4%, the most since October, as Citi analyst Andrew Coombs raises his price target on the UK bank to a Street-high. Seraphim Space shares rise as much as 9.2%, briefly hitting a new all-time high, after the space tech investment firm said the valuations of its four largest holdings increased over the final months of 2025. AECI shares rally as much as 6.1%, the most since July, after the South African commercial-explosives maker shared improved 2025 headline earnings per share guidance. Orsted shares rise as much as 3.8% after analysts at Kepler raise the recommendation to buy from hold over the Danish renewable energy firm’s outlook, despite ongoing uncertainty for the industry in the US. Norsk Hydro shares fall as much as 4.4%, extending Friday’s 5.9% earnings-triggered drop, after being downgraded at Goldman Sachs and RBC over disappointments and pricing pressures in the Norwegian aluminum company’s downstream business. Galderma shares slip as much as 2.2% after naming Luigi La Corte as its new chief financial officer following the news back in July that Thomas Dittrich was departing. Pinewood Technologies shares tumble as much as 32%, the most since April 2024, after Apax Partners said on Friday it will not proceed with a possible cash offer for the car dealership software provider. FlatexDEGIRO shares drop as much as 7.2% after BNP Paribas downgraded the online brokerage firm to neutral from outperform, saying the price reflects too much optimism about its market position in Germany. Maurel & Prom shares slump as much as 12%, pulling back after ending last week at a 2015-high, after announcing it is not currently authorized to resume oil and gas operations in Venezuela. Barratt Redrow shares fall as much as 3.7%, leading a drop in British homebuilders after Rightmove said house prices are stalling. Asian stocks slipped for a second day, led by declines in Japan as traders booked profits after last week’s post-election rally. Several markets were closed or held shortened trading sessions for the Lunar New Year holiday. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index was down 0.1%. Japan’s Topix Index fell 0.8%, with Mizuho Financial Group Inc. and Toyota Motor Corp. among the companies contributing to the index’s losses.In Hong Kong, AI model developer Minimax Group Inc. surged as much as 30% to more than four times its original listing price, while competitor Knowledge Atlas JSC Ltd. ended 4.7% higher. The market will be closed until Thursday. As investors across the region begin to reevaluate their bets on its artificial-intelligence-driven rally, traders in Japan cashed in gains driven by expectations of Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s proactive spending policies last week.Trading in Singapore ended early Monday and will be shut until Wednesday. Equity markets in mainland China, South Korea, Indonesia and Vietnam were closed. In FX, the yen is the notable mover in currencies, weakening 0.5% against the dollar and pushing USD/JPY back above 153. The offshore yuan is one of the better performers against the greenback. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rises 0.1%. There is no cash trading in Treasuries due to the Presidents’ Day holiday. European government bonds are little changed In commdities, gold dipped below $5,000 an ounce, as traders booked profits from a gain in the previous session. Bitcoin tried anf ailed to stage a modest rebound; it last traded around $68,275 after posting its fourth consecutive weekly loss, with the cryptocurrency struggling to find clear direction as a weekend rally fizzled once the momentum ignition algos emerged. WTI crude futures tread water near $62.90 a barrel. Top Headlines President Trump said there will be voter ID rules in the mid-term elections this year, whether Congress approves it or not, and they will present a legal argument in an Executive Order. Furthermore, Trump said he has searched the depths of legal arguments not yet articulated nor vetted on this subject, and they will be presenting an irrefutable one in the very near future. Iran says potential energy, mining and aircraft deals on table in talks with US: RTRS Pentagon threatened to cut its ties with Anthropic over the company’s insistence that some limitations are kept on how the military uses its AI models: RTRS UK eyes rapid ban on social media for under 16s, curbs to AI chatbots: RTRS Rampant AI Demand for Memory Is Fueling a Growing Chip Crisis: BBG Warner Bros. Weighs Reopening Sale Negotiations With Paramount: BBG Companies Are Replacing CEOs in Record Numbers—and They’re Getting Younger: WSJ Europe aims to rely less on US defence after Trump's Greenland push: RTRS DOJ Tells Lawmakers Epstein File Redactions Complied With LawL BBG For College Applicants, Pressure to Make Summers Count Has Gotten Even Worse: WSJ Fed's Goolsbee (2027 voter) said on Friday that they are still seeing pretty high services inflation, and he hopes they have seen the peak impact of tariffs, while he added that the job market has been steady, with only modest cooling. The Break Is Over. Companies Are Jacking Up Prices Again: WSJ Trade/Tariffs USTR Greer said the US and Ecuador expect to sign a trade agreement in the coming weeks. China will waive import value-added taxes on selected seeds, genetic resources, and police dogs through to 2030 to increase agricultural competitiveness and breeding capacity. It was also reported that China will grant zero-tariff access to 53 African nations from May 1st, according to Bloomberg. Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi told his French and German counterparts that China and the EU are partners, not rivals, while he added that China and the EU should manage differences, deepen practical cooperation and work together on global challenges. A more detailed look at global markets courtesy of Newsquawk APAC stocks began the week in the green but with gains limited following a lack of major fresh catalysts from over the weekend and amid thinned conditions owing to holiday closures in the region and North America. ASX 200 traded marginally higher with upside led by tech, although gains are capped by underperformance in the utilities, mining, materials and resources sectors, while participants also digested a slew of earnings releases. Nikkei 225 traded indecisively with the index constrained by disappointing Japanese preliminary Q4 GDP data, which showed the economy returned to growth but failed to meet expectations with GDP Q/Q at 0.1% (exp. 0.4%), and annualised GDP at 0.2% (exp. 1.6%). Hang Seng finished higher in a shortened trading session on Chinese New Year's Eve but with upside limited by tech weakness amid some confusion after the Pentagon added several companies including Baidu, Cosco, BYD, Huawei, Nio, SMIC, Tencent, and more to a list of Chinese firms aiding the military on Friday, but then withdrew the updated list shortly after it was posted. Furthermore, price action was also restricted by the closure of mainland markets and the absence of stock connect flows, which will remain shut for more than a week. US equity futures kept afloat in quiet trade amid the absence of drivers and participants. European equity futures indicate a mildly positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.1% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.4% on Friday. Asian Headlines Chinese President Xi called for the anchoring of economic growth around domestic demand as its main driver, in a speech during a key policy meeting late last year that was released on Sunday. China is to establish a permanent financial support framework to promote rural revitalisation and prevent a slide back into poverty, which represents a shift from transitional aid to long-term support. China’s market regulator summoned major online platform companies on Friday, including Alibaba, Douyin and Meituan, while it directed them to comply with laws and regulations, and rein in promotional practices, according to Bloomberg. US Secretary of State Rubio and Japanese Foreign Minister Motegi reaffirmed their commitment to deepen bilateral ties. Disney (DIS) sent a ‘cease and desist’ letter to ByteDance over Seedance 2.0 and alleged that ByteDance has been infringing on its IP to train and develop an AI video generation model without compensation, according to Axios. It was later reported that ByteDance said it would curb its AI video app following Disney's legal threats, according to the BBC. RBI tightened rules for loans provided to brokers and proprietary firms in an effort to reduce market speculation FX DXY eked slight gains in rangebound trade after a lack of major catalysts and with US participants away on Monday. EUR/USD was little changed amid the absence of any major macro catalysts and with light newsflow from the bloc, while comments from ECB President Lagarde and news that the ECB is to make its repo backstop available to other central banks across the world, did little to spur price action. GBP/USD held on to most of Friday's spoils but with price action contained by resistance around 1.3650 and following comments from BoE's Mann that the UK economy is sluggish and tepid, with consumers spending less due to being scarred by high inflation. USD/JPY edged higher and returned to above the 153.00 level in the aftermath of the weaker-than-expected preliminary Q4 GDP data for Japan. Antipodeans were mixed with little fresh macro drivers and a lack of tier-1 data from either side of the Tasman. Fixed Income 10yr UST futures traded little changed and held on to last week's spoils after returning above the 113.00 level in the aftermath of the softer US inflation data, while price action was contained to start the week by the closure of US cash markets for Washington's Birthday. Bund futures lacked demand in the absence of any major catalysts and with light newsflow from the bloc. 10yr JGB futures were marginally higher following disappointing preliminary GDP data for Q4, but with gains limited after failing to sustain a brief reclaim of the 132.00 level. Commodities Crude futures were rangebound amid light energy-specific newsflow from over the weekend and after last Friday's indecisive performance, where attention was on a source report that noted OPEC+ is leaning towards resuming oil output hikes from April, but with no decision made. Slovak PM Fico said he has information that the Druzhba pipeline has been fixed after damage in Ukraine, although he believes that supplies to Hungary and Slovakia have become a part of political blackmail. Spot gold took a breather after edging higher in the aftermath of the recent softer-than-expected US inflation data, with price action also contained by the holiday closures across Asia and North America. Copper futures were subdued, with their largest buyer away for more than a week due to the Chinese New Year/Spring Festival holiday. Texas venture-backed startup Hertha Metal vowed mass production of steel with 25% cost savings, which could reduce US reliance on imports. Geopolitics: Middle East US military is preparing for potential operations against Iran that could last for weeks if US President Trump orders an attack and the US fully expects Iran to retaliate, according to sources cited by Reuters. US President Trump told Israeli PM Netanyahu during a meeting in December that he would support Israel striking Iran’s ballistic missile program if the US and Iran are not able to reach a deal, according to CBS. Iran confirmed that indirect talks between the US and Iran will resume in Geneva on Tuesday under the mediation of Oman, while Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi left for Geneva on Sunday. Iranian diplomat said Iran is open to nuclear deal compromises if the US discusses lifting sanctions, while it was also reported that Iran said potential energy, mining and aircraft deals are on the table in talks with the US. Israel’s cabinet approved the proposal to register West Bank lands as ‘state property’, while Palestinians condemned the ‘de facto annexation’ which Peace Now said likely amounts to a ‘mega land grab’. Geopolitics: Ukraine US President Trump said on Friday that Ukrainian President Zelensky is going to have to get moving and that Russia wants to get a deal. US Secretary of State Rubio said they don’t know if Russia is serious about finding an end to the war in Ukraine and will continue to test it, while it was reported that he met with Ukrainian President Zelensky on security and deepening defence and economic partnerships. Ukrainian drones targeted Russia’s Taman seaport and fuel tanks in the Black Sea region. UK and European allies were reported on Friday to be weighing seizing Russian shadow fleet ships and tightening curbs on Russia's economy. French Foreign Minister Barrot said some G7 nations have expressed a willingness to proceed with a maritime services ban on Russian oil, which they hope to include in the 20th sanctions package that they are actively preparing. Geopolitics: Other European Commission President von der Leyen said that they face the very distinct threat of outside forces trying to weaken their union, while she added that mutual defence is not an optional task for the European Union; it is an obligation within their own treaty, and it is their collective commitment to stand by each other in case of aggression. Pentagon said the US military struck an alleged drug cartel boat in the Caribbean, which killed three people. DB's Jim Reid concludes the overnigt wrap I hope you all had a good weekend. To stay in Winter Olympics mood the family watched "Cool Runnings" last night. I haven't seen it for 32 years. Please don't tell anyone but I had a few tears in my eyes at the end. I blamed it on the hay fever that has now started. There will be a lot of tears out there in markets for other reasons at the moment. Just two weeks ago, the idea of AI-driven disruption still felt like an abstract, almost academic thought experiment—something we could safely revisit once we had clearer evidence of how AI would be deployed and integrated across the economy. Fast forward 14 days, and markets have wiped out well over a trillion dollars of global equity value on the fear that AI could fundamentally reshape business models and compress profitability across a wide range of industries, including software, legal services, IT consulting, wealth management, logistics, insurance, real estate brokerage and commercial real estate. Some of the sell off in “old economy” sectors feels overdone to me. But as I argued in our 2026 World Outlook back in November, the real challenge is that even by the end of this year we still won’t have enough evidence to identify the structural winners and losers with confidence. That leaves plenty of room for investors’ imaginations—both optimistic and pessimistic—to run wild. As such big sentiment swings will continue to be the order of the day. My instinct is that the reaction in things like commercial real estate, for example, has been particularly exaggerated. Markets seem to be extrapolating a scenario in which vast numbers of white collar workers are made redundant almost overnight, leading to a dramatic collapse in office demand. If that view turns out to be correct, we’ll be facing societal challenges far larger than anything currently being priced into equities. While trying to catch a falling knife may be too risky for many, beginning to cushion the descent could be sensible in many old economy sectors. Markets can’t sustain a disruption narrative across multiple sectors for months or quarters without concrete evidence — and that evidence is likely to take much longer to emerge. Fascinating times. As for this week, today is a US holiday but inflation will remain in the spotlight at a global level after Friday's slightly softer US CPI which helped contribute to a decent rates rally to end the week. Prints are due in the US (PCE - Friday), the UK (Wednesday), Canada (Tuesday) and Japan (Friday). Other economic highlights will include the FOMC minutes (Wednesday), Q4 GDP in the US (Friday), as well as the global flash PMIs (Friday). Earnings reports will feature Walmart (Thursday), Nestlé (Thursday) and BHP (today). It's the earnings calm before next week's Nvidia storm. In the US, this holiday shortened week (President's Day today) features a data calendar dominated by releases that were pushed back by last year’s government shutdown. The most consequential updates will land on Friday, when the advance estimate of Q4 GDP arrives alongside December’s personal income and consumption figures—key inputs for shaping expectations for the early part of this year. For markets assessing the underlying pulse of demand heading into 2026, private final sales to domestic purchasers (PFDP) will carry more weight than the headline GDP print. This indicator—closely monitored by Fed Chair Powell—is expected by our economists to slow to 2.0% from 2.9% in Q3, though risks appear tilted upward. One swing factor: Wednesday’s durable goods report, where modest gains outside of transportation could soften the deceleration. On the consumer front, real PCE growth is expected to cool to 2.5% after two quarters of outsized strength but should still signal ample momentum heading into the new year. Friday’s income and spending report will also offer the latest reading on core PCE, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. Our economists expect another 0.4% monthly increase for December, lifting the year over year rate to 2.9%. Updated seasonal factors from last week’s CPI release suggest some mild downward pressure on inflation trends in the second half of 2025. Still, January’s CPI data, although softer than we anticipated, do not translate into equivalent relief for core PCE—in fact, our team currently sees another 0.4% gain for January's release (delayed until March 13th). Depending on the strength of medical services, airfare, and portfolio management components in the upcoming PPI report, a 0.5% monthly rise cannot be ruled out, which would push the year over year rate toward 3.1%. So don't get too excited about the softer CPI last week and the huge rates rally. Additional releases this week will help clarify whether recent severe winter weather has disrupted factory sector activity. January industrial production, due Wednesday, should benefit from a jump in utility output, while weather effects may weigh on the Empire State Survey tomorrow and the Philadelphia Fed survey on Thursday. Labor market data will also be in focus, particularly Thursday’s jobless claims, which line up with the survey week for the February employment report. As our economists have pointed out, private nonfarm job gains have averaged 103k over the past three months, slightly above the pace at this point in 2025 and matching the start of 2024. See their latest US employment chartbook here. This week will also feature a dense lineup of Federal Reserve speakers which you can see alongside all the key global data in the day-by-day week ahead calendar at the end as usual. Moving away from the US, inflation will also be in focus in Japan (Friday) and Canada (tomorrow). For the former, our Chief Japan Economist sees the January nationwide CPI showing a slowdown in both core CPI inflation ex. fresh food to 2.1% YoY (+2.4% in December) and core-core CPI inflation ex. fresh food and energy to 2.7% (+2.9%). Also important will be the global flash PMIs due on Friday as a health check on global growth. In Europe, the spotlight will be on UK inflation (Wednesday), with labour market data due tomorrow and retail sales on Friday. Our UK economist expects headline CPI inflation to drop to 3.0% YoY (3.4% in December) and core CPI also landing at 3.0% YoY (3.2% YoY). See more in his full preview here. In terms of key rate decisions, the RBNZ are expected to remain on hold on Wednesday. Finally, the Munich Security Conference wrapped up over the weekend, where key topics included Ukraine, Russia, and the fate of Greenland. And while US Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s speech was nothing like Vice President JD Vance’s at last year’s conference, which triggered a “wake-up” call for European leaders, Rubio reiterated the administration’s view that Europe needed to leave behind its focus on energy policies, trade and mass migration. Recapping last week now, the tech volatility that has dogged markets since the start of the month broadened into a far more indiscriminate sell-off. The trough came on Thursday, marked by a sharp drop in software stocks, but the weakness extended well beyond tech. Companies across wealth management, real estate and financials suffered double digit declines, underscoring how widespread the pullback has become. Market breadth confirmed this shift as the equal weighted S&P 500 fell -1.37% on Thursday, though it managed to finish the week up +0.29% (+1.04% on Friday). Ultimately, the sell-off left the major US indices on the back foot: the S&P 500 slipped -1.39% (+0.05% on Friday), the Nasdaq lost -2.10% (-0.22% on Friday), and the Magnificent 7 slid -3.24% (-1.11% on Friday). Although the AI scare dominated sentiment, a heavy slate of US data also shaped the market narrative. Early in the week, softer prints—including flat December retail sales, a dovish Q4 Employment Cost Index, and slower Q4 growth expectations from the Atlanta Fed—pushed Treasury yields lower across the curve. That picture shifted midweek after a stronger than expected January jobs report, which delivered the largest gain in nonfarm payrolls (+130k vs. +65k expected) since December 2024 and reinforced confidence that the US economy carried solid momentum into 2026. Then on Friday, January CPI came in below expectations, adding another dovish note. Although the data offered mixed signals at times, the overall takeaway was sufficiently dovish for traders to increase the number of expected rate cuts by December 2026 to 63.4bps (+7.7bps on the week). This helped drive the largest weekly drop in the 10 year Treasury yield since August 2025, down -15.8bps (-5.0bps on Friday) to 4.05%. The 2 year yield also moved sharply lower, falling -8.9bps to 3.41% (-4.8bps on Friday), its lowest level since 2022. European markets, meanwhile, delivered a comparatively resilient performance. The STOXX 600 (+0.09%, -0.13% Friday), DAX (+0.78%, +0.25% Friday) and FTSE 100 (+0.74%, +0.42% Friday) all posted modest gains for the week. European sovereign bonds rallied as well, with the 10 year bund yield dropping -8.7bps—its steepest weekly decline since April 2025. That move was outpaced by gilts, which fell -9.8bps (-3.6bps on Friday) despite a sharp early week sell-off triggered by renewed questions surrounding Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s position. Elsewhere, performance was mixed. Brent crude edged down -0.44% (+0.34% on Friday), while gold extended its upward run, rising +1.56% (+2.43% on Friday). Will London’s half term week finally give us a quiet week in 2026? You’d probably have to guess at ‘unlikely’. Tyler Durden Mon, 02/16/2026 - 09:40
European markets are showing cautious gains amid growing hopes for extensions of ceasefires in ongoing conflicts.

The International Monetary Fund has lowered its global growth forecast and issued a warning about a potential worldwide recession. This outlook is largely attributed to the escalating conflict in the Middle East and its impact on energy markets.

Oil prices have surged above $102 per barrel, driven by investor fears of a potential US naval blockade of Iran and the ongoing lack of agreement between the two nations, which also saw natural gas prices jump and European markets open in the red.

The blockade of the Strait of Hormuz is causing widespread economic repercussions, leading to higher pump prices globally and severe setbacks for key energy exporters like the UAE and Qatar. European markets are experiencing volatility due to rising oil prices and war risks, with the head of the IEA stating the current oil and gas crisis is more severe than previous major crises.

Markets are bracing for a new round of interest rate increases across the Eurozone, influenced by escalating tensions in the Middle East and persistent inflationary pressures. This follows recent hawkish communications from European central banks that have already contributed to tightening monetary policy.

President Donald Trump has stated that the US will conclude its attacks on Iran within two to three weeks, regardless of a deal, and emphasized that securing the Strait of Hormuz is not America's responsibility. This optimism has led to Brent oil prices falling below $100, though analysts warn that normalizing oil flows could take weeks even after a conflict resolution.
European markets began the week in a neutral position as investors carefully assessed the implications of President Trump's recent threats regarding oil, contributing to market uncertainty.

An analysis highlights how transport customers in different European markets have varying expectations, emphasizing that the client is central to any business, even in the transport sector.
According to Goldman Sachs, hedge funds are increasingly betting against US stocks and reallocating their investments towards European markets.
The U.S.-Israeli attacks on Iran are hurting European markets most of all, with interest-rate expectations surging for both the Bank of England and European Central Bank on Thursday.
Navigating European Markets: Strategic Considerations for Uzbek Firms Seeking Global Expansion UzDaily

European stocks are expected to open broadly flat on Tuesday as global markets keep a close eye on volatile oil prices.

Greece's Minister of National Economy and Finance, Kyriakos Pierrakakis, is traveling to Paris today to participate as a keynote speaker at the 14th annual Euronext conference, focusing on strengthening European markets.

The cost of losses for European markets in the last two weeks is heavy. American growth revised downwards.

Rabat – The recent correction on the Casablanca Stock Exchange has drawn attention after the MASI index fell roughly 12% between February 20 and March 3, one of the steepest declines recorded among several African and European markets during the same period. The drop came as global markets reacted to rising geopolitical tensions in the […] The post Global Tensions and Structural Shifts Shake Casablanca Stock Market appeared first on Morocco World News.

The Athens Stock Exchange closed with a slight gain of 0.21% in its latest session, defying an initial decline and moving against the downward trend observed in other European markets. Shares of Aegean Airlines notably outperformed among high-capitalization stocks.

MANILA, Philippines — The Philippine National Police – Highway Patrol Group (PNP -HPG) ordered its patrol officers to save on fuel amid looming price hikes triggered by escalating tensions in the…

Volvo announced an increase in the planned production quantities for its fully electric EX60 SUV, just one month after its official unveiling, due to high demand in major European markets.

Investors doubt the impact that difficulties in the Strait of Hormuz will have on companies.

Russian President Vladimir Putin stated he is considering immediately halting gas supplies to the European Union, suggesting a redirection to more reliable partners, though emphasizing it is not yet a final decision.
European markets stabilized after experiencing a sell-off in Asian markets, restoring a sense of calm among investors.
European markets have reportedly restored calm following a sell-off in Asian markets.
European markets restore calm after Asian sell-off The Times

European Stocks Tumble in Biggest Two-Day Drop Since April Bloomberg.com

The Greek stock market is experiencing strong downward pressure, with share prices falling by 3.52% at the start of the trading session. This decline occurs amidst a negative climate also affecting European markets, with transaction value reaching 50.5 million euros.

Liquidations hit Athens amid Middle East tensions – General index falls below 2,200 points – European markets in the red, Wall Street futures slide sharply The post Tensions in the Middle East triger Athens Stock Exchange: General index opens nearly 4% down appeared first on ProtoThema English.

The Greek Stock Exchange closed with an upward trend, gaining 1.09% and reaching 2,283.73 points on its General Index, recovering after three consecutive declining sessions amidst rising European markets.

Stock prices on the Athens Stock Exchange are showing upward trends at the opening of today's trading session, mirroring positive movements in major European markets. The market is recovering after three consecutive declining sessions.

European stocks are expected to open flat to higher on Tuesday as investors assess the new global trading landscape after President Donald Trump's tariffs move.

Chinese car brand Lynk & Co, founded in 2016 by Geely, is making a push to establish itself in European markets with new vehicles, aiming to differentiate itself from competitors despite lingering doubts.
A strategist recommends maintaining exposure in European markets while not abandoning U.S. markets.
European markets are experiencing a rise, attributed to an overall improvement in market sentiment.
Uber is reportedly expanding its food delivery operations into seven additional European markets. This move signifies a significant push to grow its presence in the continent's food delivery sector.