Poll shows opposition Tisza party leading Orban's Fidesz ahead of Hungarian elections

A new poll indicates that Hungary's opposition center-right Tisza party holds a lead over Prime Minister Viktor Orban's ruling Fidesz party, 52% to 39%, ahead of Sunday's parliamentary elections.

10 Apr, 14:56 — 11 Apr, 14:03

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Why this matters

These elections are significant as they could end Viktor Orban's 16-year rule, potentially shifting Hungary's political landscape and its relationship with the European Union. Orban's government has often been at odds with EU policies, and a change in leadership could have broader implications for European politics and alliances.

Key entitiesViktor Orban Fidesz Péter Magyar Tisza party Donald Trump Andrej Babis Aleksandar Vučić

The Story

What 14 sources agree on, dispute, and miss

What sources agree on

Hungarian parliamentary elections are scheduled for Sunday
The opposition Tisza party, led by Péter Magyar, has gained significant ground against Viktor Orban's Fidesz
The elections are considered critical for Hungary's political future and its international alliances

Key claims1 agreed · 3 unverified

The opposition Tisza party leads Orban's Fidesz 52% to 39% in polls.

unverified·n1-serbia

Péter Magyar is a 45-year-old lawyer and MEP.

unverified·naftemporiki

✓

The Kremlin believes Fidesz will lose the elections.

agreed·jutarnji-listdigi24

Donald Trump and JD Vance have backed Orban's election campaign.

unverified·The Independent

Where they diverge

Kremlin's view on Orban's election prospects

jutarnji-listdigi24

The Kremlin admits Orban's Fidesz party is likely to lose the elections, despite their support.

vijesti-me

Serbian President Vučić expresses gratitude to Orban but does not predict his victory or defeat, implying uncertainty.

International support for Viktor Orban

The Independent

Orban's campaign is backed by US President Donald Trump and Vice President JD Vance.

hotnews

Czech Prime Minister Andrej Babis expressed support for Orban, emphasizing stability.

Coverage gaps

Discussion of football's role in Orban's political rise and potential fall

Reportedn1-bih

Missingvijesti-mehotnewsdanas+10

Specific polling numbers showing Tisza's lead

Reportedn1-serbia

Missingvijesti-mehotnewsn1-bih+10

The Story

Analyzing sources…

Source Diversity

Excellent (92/100)

14 sources33/33

Spectrum spread— 4/5 buckets covered25/33

Far L1

Far Left (1)

The Independent

Left9

Left (9)

danasvijesti-mehotnewsn1-bihreporter-alhelsingin-sanomatn1-serbiaFrance 24+1 more

Center2

Center (2)

jutarnji-listdigi24

Right2

Right (2)

naftemporikistraits-times

Far R

Geographic diversity— 12 regions34/34

Serbia2Romania2Montenegro1Bosnia1Albania1Finland1UK1Greece1Croatia1France1Singapore1Austria1

Political spectrum

LeftCenterRight

independent

der-standard

danas

n1-serbia

vijesti-me

hotnews

n1-bih

reporter-al

helsingin-sanomat

france24

jutarnji-list

digi24

straits-times

naftemporiki

Outlet rating This story

SourceOutletiGeneral editorial lean of the outletStoryiHow they covered this specific storyToneFactuality

The Independentcenter-leftlefturgentMostly FactualHighlights Orban's 'failing' campaign and US backing

der-standardcenter-leftcenter-leftanalytical—Highlights Orban trailing in polls

danas

Coverage leans: center-left

The coverage generally leans center-left, with many outlets highlighting the challenge to Orban's long rule and discussing his international alliances critically, particularly regarding Russia and populist leaders.

Sources

Showing 3 of 14 sources

France 24High85d ago

Hungary: Is Viktor Orban Russia's 'Trojan horse' in the EU?

🇭🇺 🇷🇺 🇪🇺 Is #Hungarian PM Viktor #Orban #Russia's "Trojan horse" in Europe? 🤝 Frequent official meetings with President Vladimir #Putin, staunch opposition to European aid packages to #Ukraine, a "Kremlin hotline" with live updates on #EU summits - all of these factors could play into voters' considerations ahead of Hungary's legislative elections on Sunday. 🔎 FRANCE 24 takes a closer look.

By FRANCE24

Read full article →

The IndependentMostly Factual84d ago

Hungary elections live: Orban fights to remain in power as voters head to polls in key test for Europe

Orban’s failing election campaign has been backed by US president Donald Trump and vice president JD Vance

By Maira Butt

Read full article →

straits-timesMostly Factual85d ago

How has Hungary changed during Orban's 16 years in power? - The Straits Times

How has Hungary changed during Orban's 16 years in power? The Straits Times

Read full article →

Coverage Timeline

First report: der-standard · 10 Apr, 14:45|Full coverage: 14 · 1d 1h|Window: 1d 1h

Left-leaningCenterRight-leaning

der-standard10 Apr, 14:45First to report

Liveticker zu den Wahlen in Ungarn: Immer wieder Orbán oder Neubeginn?

straits-times10 Apr, 14:56

How has Hungary changed during Orban's 16 years in power? - The Straits Times

France 2410 Apr, 14:58

Hungary: Is Viktor Orban Russia's 'Trojan horse' in the EU?

2h later

digi2410 Apr, 17:24

Kremlinul admite că Orban va pierde alegerile din Ungaria: „Chiar și cu sprijinul nostru, nu au reușit nimic”. Pe cine va da vina Rusia

1h later

jutarnji-list10 Apr, 18:30

Kremlj diže ruke od Orbana

3h later

n1-serbia10 Apr, 21:02

Anketa pokazuje: Opoziciona Tisa u prednosti u odnosu na Orbanov Fides 52 naspram 39 odsto

8h later

naftemporiki11 Apr, 04:41

Εκλογές στην Ουγγαρία: Ποιος είναι ο Πέτερ Μαγιάρ που απειλεί την κυριαρχία Όρμπαν

9h later

The Independent11 Apr, 14:03

Hungary elections live: Orban fights to remain in power as voters head to polls in key test for Europe

helsingin-sanomat11 Apr, 14:45

Miniristikko | Unkarin parlamenttivaalit käydään sunnuntaina, nouseeko oppositio valtaan?

reporter-al11 Apr, 14:50

Zgjedhjet e Hungarisë mund të riformatojnë skenën politike të Europës

n1-bih11 Apr, 14:56

Fudbal, novac i kontrola: Kako je najvažnija sporedna stvar pomogla Orbanu u usponu, a možda i padu

hotnews11 Apr, 15:04

„În vremuri tulburi, contează să alegi stabilitatea”. Viktor Orban, susținut de omologul din Cehia la scrutinul de duminică

vijesti-me11 Apr, 15:09

Vučić podržao Orbana na sjutrašnjim izborima, tvrdi da će mu Srbi...

1h later

danas11 Apr, 16:11Latest update

Slovački i češki premijeri Fico i Babiš podržali Orbana za parlamentarne izbore

Story evolution

The narrative shifted from simply reporting poll numbers to a broader analysis of Orban's political vulnerabilities, his international backing, and the potential geopolitical consequences of the election.

Initial Poll ReportsApr 10 evening

Early reports emerge highlighting the Tisza party's unexpected lead over Fidesz.

International Reactions & SupportApr 11 morning

Outlets begin to cover international figures expressing support for Orban and the Kremlin's alleged stance on the election.

Pre-Election Scenarios & AnalysisApr 11 afternoon

Closer to election day, articles delve into possible outcomes, Orban's political history, and the broader European implications.

Poll shows opposition Tisza party leading Orban's Fidesz ahead of Hungarian elections

Why this matters

The Story

What sources agree on

Key claims1 agreed · 3 unverified

Where they diverge

Coverage gaps

The Story

Source Diversity

Source Diversity

Political spectrum

Sources

Hungary: Is Viktor Orban Russia's 'Trojan horse' in the EU?

Hungary elections live: Orban fights to remain in power as voters head to polls in key test for Europe

How has Hungary changed during Orban's 16 years in power? - The Straits Times

Coverage Timeline

Liveticker zu den Wahlen in Ungarn: Immer wieder Orbán oder Neubeginn?

How has Hungary changed during Orban's 16 years in power? - The Straits Times

Hungary: Is Viktor Orban Russia's 'Trojan horse' in the EU?

Kremlinul admite că Orban va pierde alegerile din Ungaria: „Chiar și cu sprijinul nostru, nu au reușit nimic”. Pe cine va da vina Rusia

Kremlj diže ruke od Orbana

Anketa pokazuje: Opoziciona Tisa u prednosti u odnosu na Orbanov Fides 52 naspram 39 odsto

Εκλογές στην Ουγγαρία: Ποιος είναι ο Πέτερ Μαγιάρ που απειλεί την κυριαρχία Όρμπαν

Hungary elections live: Orban fights to remain in power as voters head to polls in key test for Europe

Miniristikko | Unkarin parlamenttivaalit käydään sunnuntaina, nouseeko oppositio valtaan?

Zgjedhjet e Hungarisë mund të riformatojnë skenën politike të Europës

Fudbal, novac i kontrola: Kako je najvažnija sporedna stvar pomogla Orbanu u usponu, a možda i padu

„În vremuri tulburi, contează să alegi stabilitatea”. Viktor Orban, susținut de omologul din Cehia la scrutinul de duminică

Vučić podržao Orbana na sjutrašnjim izborima, tvrdi da će mu Srbi...

Slovački i češki premijeri Fico i Babiš podržali Orbana za parlamentarne izbore

Story evolution

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Why this matters

Story evolution

The Story

What sources agree on

Key claims1 agreed · 3 unverified

Where they diverge

Coverage gaps

Political spectrum

Coverage matrix(14 sources)