Bitcoin je pao na 63.000 dolara dok je dolar jačao, a tržišta dionica slabila. Pad ispod 60.000 dolara nosi rizik novih likvidacija i mogućeg spuštanj

Polymarket forecasts Bitcoin will hit $75,000 in the coming week, a prediction that technical charts reportedly do not support.

A Dutch regulator has issued an order for Polymarket to cease its unlicensed betting operations.

Ethereum creator Vitalik Buterin, an early backer of Polymarket, has voiced his dissatisfaction with the current trajectory of prediction markets.

The Trump administration has expressed support for prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket, even as some states move to ban them.

Polymarket has filed a lawsuit against Massachusetts in response to the state's crackdown on prediction markets.

A letter to Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Michael Selig cites three Polymarket contracts related to a NASA launch, Venezuela and Ukraine.

Polymarket's predictions suggest Bitcoin will hit $75,000 next week, though technical charts do not align with this forecast.

Tech, Media & Telecom Roundup: Market Talk  The Wall Street Journal

Kalshi's website Thomas Fuller/NurPhoto via Getty Images Nevada regulators sued Kalshi, saying its markets are actually illegal sports gambling. The suit was filed just as the Trump administration sided with prediction markets. Other states have also sued Kalshi, and many legal observers expect the Supreme Court to weigh in. Nevada gambling regulators sued the prediction markets company Kalshi on Tuesday, saying the platform's rapid growth forced their hand. The Nevada Gaming Control Board and the state attorney general sued in Carson City District Court shortly after a federal appeals court rejected a request by Kalshi to stop the state from taking action. The state is seeking an order to stop Kalshi, the country's largest prediction market, from operating what it sees as an unlicensed sports betting operation. "Kalshi has continued to dramatically expand its business, rather than attempting to maintain any kind of status quo," Nevada authorities said in a letter earlier this month. The regulators emphasized that Kalshi has grown rapidly, doing 27 times as much business on Super Bowl Sunday this year compared to the year before. Meanwhile, regulated Nevada gambling operations saw their business shrink, the state said. A Kalshi spokesperson declined to comment on Tuesday afternoon, but the company swiftly asked a federal court to take over the new state case. They argued that only federal law applies to prediction markets, and that the new state enforcement action turns on the same questions that federal courts are already considering. Kalshi has said that its markets are "event contracts," a financial instrument regulated by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission. The CFTC on Tuesday sided with another events-contracts company that is fighting with Nevada regulators, and its chairman, Michael Selig, filmed a video statement defending the new platforms. "Today, the CFTC is taking an important step to ensure that these markets have a place here in America," Selig said. "To those who seek to challenge our authority in this space, let me be clear: we will see you in court." Economists and political scientists have long been fascinated by prediction markets as a way to channel the so-called wisdom of the crowds. They were generally a niche activity until the 2024 US presidential election, when people wagered millions of dollars on sites like Polymarket. Since the election, sports and cryptocurrency speculation have become the dominant markets. Today, more than 90% of the money that flows through Kalshi's platform is staked on sports-related events, and the growth of platforms like Kalshi has spurred traditional sportsbooks like FanDuel and DraftKings to create their prediction markets to take advantage of the light-touch regulation and lower taxes they offer. Legal battles are pending on the East Coast as well, with regulators in Maryland and New Jersey having clashed with prediction markets. Attorneys and other industry commentators have said they expect the Supreme Court to eventually weigh in on the legality of sports contracts on prediction markets. Read the original article on Business Insider

At least 20 federal suits filed against companies like Kalshi and Polymarket as lawmakers call it ‘loophole’ for gambling State lawmakers and gaming regulators across the US are escalating their fight against prediction markets, arguing that the fast-growing platforms are “basically gambling but with another name”. At least 20 federal lawsuits have been filed nationwide, disputing whether companies such as Kalshi and Polymarket should be treated as federally regulated financial exchanges, as they maintain, or as gambling operations that should be regulated like state-licensed sportsbooks. Continue reading...

The Tel Aviv indictment is the first publicly known instance of people being accused of leveraging military secrets to place bets on the popular prediction market.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi are exploring new ways to engage users by 'gamifying truth', allowing participants to bet on future events.

A Dutch regulator has issued an order for Polymarket, a prediction market platform, to cease its unlicensed betting operations within the Netherlands.

The Netherlands has banned Polymarket, citing its operation of 'illegal gambling services' within the country.

Jake Paul said he bonded with Sam Altman over a love of "fast cars." Mandel Ngan/AFP/Getty Images; Gerrit van Keulen/Soccrates/Getty Images Jake Paul said that OpenAI CEO Sam Altman taught him to be "hella productive" with 15-minute meetings. "Time is the most valuable thing, and it's the only reason you can't accomplish more," Paul said on "Sourcery." Paul said that he met Altman at President Donald Trump's inauguration. His fund later invested in OpenAI. Jake Paul was a firebrand YouTuber. Then he was an NFT merchant, and a betting site operator. Now, Paul is a professional boxer — and venture capitalist. And he's learning from one of the biggest names in tech. On "Sourcery," Paul said that he met OpenAI CEO Sam Altman while sitting next to each other at President Donald Trump's inauguration. "Sam likes fast cars, and so do I," Paul said. "So, we just started talking about cars, and then we got along, and that was really it." Paul's Anti Fund — which is also led by his brother Logan and longtime founder Geoffrey Woo — invested in OpenAI in 2025. The biggest lesson he's learned from Altman is efficiency, Paul said. He described the quick-and-tidy meetings that Altman runs. The OpenAI CEO "walks into the room, sits down, let's get right into the conversation, boom boom boom," he said. In 15 minutes alone, Altman was "hella productive," Paul said. Then, Altman can go on to his next meeting and do it all over again. "We'll do hourlong meetings or calls and just waste time," Paul said. "I think that was inspiring because time is the most valuable thing, and it's the only reason you can't accomplish more." Indeed, Altman has long opted for the 15-minute meeting. In a 2018 blog post, he wrote that the ideal meeting time is either around 15 to 20 minutes or 2 hours, but "the default of 1 hour is usually wrong." Paul has worked closely with OpenAI in the last year, beyond participating in fundraising. Remember all of those strange Paul memes running around the internet during the Sora 2 launch? They were by design. Paul said he helped consult on the project and was one of the first to sign over his name, image, and likeness. Woo also appeared on the podcast, and spelled out the thinking behind those far-out memes (such as an AI Paul declaring he was gay). "It was not something that was like, 'Hey, Jake Paul is now gay.' Jake was thoughtful in terms of why we were part of that launch." Woo also said that he had formed a good friendship with Altman and Mark Chen, OpenAI's chief research officer. For the Sora 2 launch, Paul said that he had "regular calls" with OpenAI and offered "super detailed consulting." "Me and my brother have however many years combined of social media experience since the beginning," Paul said. "We were there when the term 'influencer' was even made up." This background, Paul said, helped him give good advice on what OpenAI's social media-like interface should look like. He advised on both what creators and audiences wanted, he said. Anti Fund closed its $30 million fund in September. Other investments include defense tech startup Anduril and prediction market Polymarket. Woo said their ties to OpenAI remain strong. "We were just at OpenAI for three hours looking for other ways to collaborate," he said. "Things might be cooking." Read the original article on Business Insider

The Trump administration is backing companies like Kalshi and Polymarket, which operate prediction markets, as several states move to ban such platforms.

An Israeli reservist has been indicted for allegedly using classified intelligence to place bets on Polymarket, a prediction market platform.

Prediction platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi are experiencing rapid growth, prompting confusion and concern due to their less regulated nature compared to traditional betting sites.